Common-Heron
0x4aece05d5c1713386691eddfa6c9e19bcaa8ebbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$112.44
Total PnL
$-430.74
Realised
$-1.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6750 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$104.63
$6.63
- NO
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$7.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
247 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-98.72
- YES
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
206 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
204 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
88 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$21.67May 18, 03:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$13.16May 16, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays$10.13May 16, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.83May 16, 17:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.09May 15, 18:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.16May 14, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$29.68May 14, 19:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$30.00May 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5$5.09May 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$5.08May 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$39.95May 13, 16:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$40.00May 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.20May 12, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $15.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".