0x4af2bd546e90ec973c3456b81d88ee1832f13e4e
0x4af2bd546e90ec973c3456b81d88ee1832f13e4e
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$478.34
Total PnL
$66.60
Realised
$15.14
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
79 shares @ 90.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.49
$0.94
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
62 shares @ 69.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$61.52
$18.62
- YES
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
113 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.32
$0.56
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
40 shares @ 60.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.81
$7.81
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.13
$6.14
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
28 shares @ 94.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$27.90
$1.53
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.41
$2.42
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 24.4¢·now 32.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.99
$6.53
- YES
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?
24 shares @ 32.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.65
$15.98
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
37 shares @ 39.1¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.19
$8.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$8.361h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$13.932h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$4.182h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?$4.853h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$24.123h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?$2.2511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$28.1312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$27.7112h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$0.8715h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$7.1818h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$12.7619h ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1.2420h ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$5.0320h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$1.0223h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$1.081d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$2.121d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$3.761d ago
- REDEEMWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$16.371d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$1.242d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?$10.212d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
