Melodic-Wick
0x4b246bc4af811459854b958331972f19a1a6a882
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$14.06
Total PnL
$-4.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NUGGETS
Lakers vs. Nuggets
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$3.23
$1.23
- YES
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
2 shares @ 42.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$2.35
$1.35
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
4 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 4, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hornets$1.00Mar 4, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 4, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 4, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Wizards$1.00Mar 4, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Jan 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.00Jan 6, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$1.00Jan 6, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Nov 14, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Oct 24, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Oct 7, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? $1.20Oct 7, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?$2.04Oct 7, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$2.04Oct 7, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Sep 2, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$1.00Aug 18, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.