Worthless-Overheard
0x4b303fb5cb800db6168a6851d62dcbfdf01d4b79
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$-620.00
Realised
$16.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
3704 shares @ 76.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.5K
$663.20
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
2470 shares @ 63.2¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$-91.47
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
1511 shares @ 89.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.4K
$34.67
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
588 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$550.00
$50.00
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
500 shares @ 88.8¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$485.50
$41.45
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
500 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$477.00
$6.19
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
500 shares @ 62.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$410.00
$100.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
397 shares @ 80.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$336.05
$15.95
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
230 shares @ 86.5¢·now 71.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$163.71
$-35.41
- OVER
France vs. England: France O/U 3.5 Corners
1780 shares @ 79.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$419.77Jul 23, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$918.41Jul 22, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$16.93Jul 22, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$86.17Jul 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$22.44Jul 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$70.14Jul 21, 16:59 UTC
- REWARD$1.26Jul 21, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$243.77Jul 20, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$413.22Jul 20, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$7.39Jul 20, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$10.22Jul 20, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$54.41Jul 20, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$60.75Jul 20, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$359.25Jul 20, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$936.92Jul 20, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1000.00Jul 20, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spain (-2.5)$498.43Jul 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spain (-3.5)$998.53Jul 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1000.00Jul 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-2.5)$501.56Jul 19, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $440.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.