Vigilant-Choker
0x4b69118fc515a424fe4d6092d3cc6645ed14373e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.07
Total PnL
$-83.53
Realised
$-0.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-1.93
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
2050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?
129 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
84 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.57
- YES
Will Iran strike one country in March?
73 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran strike two countries in March?
66 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 5?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
41 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 10?
33 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 2?
31 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$30.01Mar 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France strike Iran by March 31?$0.26Mar 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$0.44Mar 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$6.57Mar 14, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$0.55Mar 13, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.32Mar 13, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?$1.69Mar 13, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times during Kentucky visit?$9.98Mar 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Kentucky visit?$10.00Mar 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 5?$3.00Mar 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?$1.00Mar 10, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?$20.99Mar 10, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 10, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?$10.00Mar 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 10?$1.63Mar 9, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?$3.00Mar 9, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?$1.00Mar 9, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Mar 9, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 18:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.