Limp-Interconnection
0x4b7410aefbf0f38012b0dfb1131a4de147a9e8d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$16.8K
Total PnL
$5.7K
Realised
$7.5K
Win rate
78%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2080 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.1K
$1.04
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
1152 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.1K
$-20.73
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
877 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$802.34
$-4.38
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
599 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$569.50
$-6.59
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
582 shares @ 91.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$526.31
$-7.41
- NO
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
486 shares @ 92.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$451.25
$1.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
450 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$448.66
$0.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
450 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$447.98
$0.68
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
480 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$434.41
$-2.40
- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
406 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$405.14
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$231.24Jul 29, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$4.69Jul 29, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.35Jul 29, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$4.64Jul 29, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$0.02Jul 29, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$264.76Jul 29, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$7.25Jul 29, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$1.13Jul 29, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$24.06Jul 29, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$123.81Jul 29, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$68.72Jul 29, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$147.01Jul 29, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$371.99Jul 29, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$63.38Jul 29, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$344.73Jul 29, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$358.04Jul 29, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$101.60Jul 29, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$20.37Jul 29, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?$2.46Jul 29, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$117.64Jul 29, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
64 closed markets, 78% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$24.9K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $105.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.