Robust-Bonsai
0x4b820b6dd2cd234f92444b1d6e890cae0a9c749a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$264.87
Total PnL
$-27.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
267 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$264.87
$-0.13
- KINGS
Suns vs. Kings
36 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Hornets
32 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Magic
26 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- CELTICS
Celtics vs. Nuggets
11 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Knicks
9 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Rockets
9 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$265.07May 16, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$246.73May 16, 06:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$247.02May 13, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$224.75May 13, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$225.01May 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$201.78May 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$202.01May 7, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$210.77May 7, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$211.01May 6, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?$246.73May 6, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?$247.01May 6, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?$236.74May 6, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?$237.01May 5, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$213.72May 5, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$214.05May 5, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$231.74May 5, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $240.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".