Glittering-Day
0x4bb3b7479c6c2a9006995b06f56167e275656e74
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$40.67
Total PnL
$-38.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.67
$19.67
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.71
$2.71
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-1.02
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-1.16
- YES
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 15, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$13.64Mar 15, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$1.89Mar 14, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition$2.38Mar 2, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$11.11Mar 2, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?$1.00Feb 19, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$12.72Jan 30, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$10.44Jan 30, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$37.00Jan 24, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$20.00Jan 9, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$6.67Jan 8, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$27.78Jan 8, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia announce a Christmas truce?$1.10Jan 8, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 8, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 8, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 8, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".