Broken-Cuisine
0x4bc1570472463b5a2c1be9e2ecca0a55598580c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$248.94
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
180477 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-741.22
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2563 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
1225 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-16.83
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1001 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-204.82
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?
854 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-119.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
729 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-92.55
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
676 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
589 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.85
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
195 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.85Jul 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.96Jul 19, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$244.28Jul 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$268.24Jul 19, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$269.11Jul 19, 21:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.60Jul 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.15Jul 14, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$83.26Jul 14, 20:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12Jul 7, 17:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $80.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.