0x4bc83927a1a0417b5630506639a146de23e0cb0d
0x4bc83927a1a0417b5630506639a146de23e0cb0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$70.24
Total PnL
$-164.73
Realised
$-13.44
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 25?
17 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$17.10
$2.74
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 25?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$13.04
$3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$9.09
$4.09
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$6.52
$1.56
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$6.24
$3.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$6.00
$3.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 89.6¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.14
$0.14
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?
3 shares @ 64.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$2.69
$0.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$2.68
$0.70
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.67
$0.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 25?$14.43Mar 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 25?$10.12Mar 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25?$50.00Mar 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?$50.00Mar 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$20.30Mar 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$8.70Mar 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$14.85Mar 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$14.85Mar 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.83Mar 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.95Mar 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$7.15Mar 17, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$90.55Mar 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$99.00Mar 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$91.38Mar 17, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$99.00Mar 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$221.07Mar 17, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$99.00Mar 17, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$44.37Mar 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$45.54Mar 17, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.00Mar 16, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $31.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".