Hateful-Pastry
0x4bc9789aa9fdf6421536c12d10b9ec0b19c7eacb
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$126.21
Total PnL
$-11.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
27 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.20
$0.20
- NO
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
28 shares @ 95.0¢·now 75.1¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$20.99
$-5.55
- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
15 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.50
$0.24
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.80
$1.80
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 3?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$5.40
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on April 4?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.40
$0.01
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
15 shares @ 54.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.11
$-2.89
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5 shares @ 87.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.29
$0.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?$0.00Apr 4, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$0.00Apr 4, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 4?$1.00Apr 3, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on April 4?$5.40Apr 3, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 3?$5.40Apr 3, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$4.00Apr 3, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 3, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 3, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.00Apr 3, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00Apr 3, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.00Apr 3, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$1.00Apr 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$0.00Apr 3, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$1.04Apr 3, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$1.09Apr 3, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.15Apr 3, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?$1.23Apr 3, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$1.52Apr 3, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".