Late-Ottoman
0x4c29a0d9c4759f7e4a3a816db61f994e97f3bb8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
93
Open notional
$47.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$19.85
$-0.15
- KIMMER COPPEJANS
Zug: Cezar Cretu vs Kimmer Coppejans
20 shares @ 50.8¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$9.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.86
$-1.14
- LOOF/UESUGI
Zug (Doubles): Merino/Ricca vs Loof/Uesugi
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$7.31
$-2.69
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
28 shares @ 10.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-1.86
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Pistons
85 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$9.55Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals$12.13Jul 21, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMPalermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo$22.22Jul 20, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMGenerali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse$15.87Jul 20, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli$20.83Jul 20, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMHamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malygina$20.08Jul 20, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals$6.58Jul 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$10.28Jul 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$10.20Jul 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$10.26Jul 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$10.23Jul 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo$10.27Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYZug (Doubles): Merino/Ricca vs Loof/Uesugi$10.16Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara win on 2026-07-20?$10.22Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova$10.23Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee$10.28Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYZug: Cezar Cretu vs Kimmer Coppejans$10.25Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse$10.18Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli$10.26Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$10.34Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $13.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.