Proper-Description
0x4c2a07d0b2f77d7b2cc30d9c7379fbf80ed265dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$102.00
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
75%
112 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
3000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$22.50
$-16.50
- YES
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.50
$-47.35
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29999 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-5.11
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
69999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-71.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.00Jun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$3.50Jun 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$75.00Jun 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$20.18Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.00Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.00Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$14.00Jun 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$22.07Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$23.24Jun 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.11Jun 13, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$16.47Jun 13, 05:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$5.22Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.12Jun 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$800.00Jun 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLVentuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.74Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$790.00Jun 12, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.13Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.37Jun 12, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $67.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 112 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.