Sardonic-Deal
0x4c6075b83403dc59cf40be87eab6a8fbac53b1cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$23.70
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.51
$-0.00
- ZIZOU BERGS
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergs
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.95
$0.72
- NO
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$0.00
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.57
$-0.03
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
3 shares @ 53.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.53
$0.01
- NO
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$-0.03
- NO
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.32
$0.02
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$-0.01
- YES
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.25
$-0.01
- NO
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 91.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.24
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYValencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergs$1.24May 14, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 11?$1.13May 14, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?$1.82May 14, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.60May 11, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 11?$1.12May 11, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?$1.14May 11, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.30May 11, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.51May 11, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?$1.50May 11, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$1.50May 11, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?$1.56May 11, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.59May 11, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Sky vs. Portland Fire$1.68May 11, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$1.99May 11, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMKBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears$2.42May 11, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears$1.30May 9, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles$1.16May 9, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Sky vs. Portland Fire$1.12May 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$1.54May 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.28May 7, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".