Villainous-Nickname
0x4c76e87ad8bb63f770a1be7e570005884e1dfe11
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$113.15
Total PnL
$41.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$59.55
$39.55
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 27 2026?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.48
$1.76
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
17 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.22
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
11 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.87
$-0.11
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.76
$-0.20
- NO
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.54
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
8 shares @ 44.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.27
$0.55
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.31
$0.46
- NO
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$6.18Jul 29, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 28, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 27 2026?$9.80Jul 28, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$18.00Jul 27, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$0.00Jul 26, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$4.70Jul 26, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$6.59Jul 25, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$2.02Jul 24, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$8.50Jul 23, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$6.00Jul 23, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$4.87Jul 23, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$6.59Jul 23, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$0.00Jul 21, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$3.05Jul 19, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$4.85Jul 19, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$4.88Jul 19, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 18, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-18?$0.00Jul 18, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$4.66Jul 18, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.