Ideal-Evaporation
0x4cb184a2f282a996d2b2fad0a7519f1037b27505
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$164.75
Total PnL
$-738.12
Realised
$-8.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?
59 shares @ 16.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$23.19
$13.80
- YES
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$21.43
$16.43
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.56
$-3.44
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
196 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.36
$-2.64
- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
157 shares @ 6.4¢·now 6.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
174 shares @ 8.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.98
$-6.02
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.40
$-3.60
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
87 shares @ 15.4¢·now 9.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$8.25
$-5.22
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
144 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.68
$-1.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$2.06Jun 12, 16:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$86.94Jun 10, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$15.41Jun 10, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$10.28Jun 10, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$5.15Jun 10, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$10.30Jun 10, 01:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 9?$10.38Jun 9, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$2.06Jun 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$8.24Jun 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$7.21Jun 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$7.19Jun 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$5.15Jun 6, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $13.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.