Bony-Dependency
0x4cbe5306af0473ae7499096fece9e8c7689f100a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$26.1K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
3428 shares @ 80.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$9.87
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
5872 shares @ 48.5¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$-148.80
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
3026 shares @ 85.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.5K
$-57.00
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1843 shares @ 91.6¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$-30.37
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
1753 shares @ 84.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$58.28
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
1354 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-20.31
- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
1388 shares @ 90.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-3.02
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
1947 shares @ 78.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-366.54
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
1122 shares @ 92.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-2.31
- NO
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
1119 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-4.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.02Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$400.00Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$330.60Jun 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$400.00Jun 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$385.00Jun 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$499.00Jun 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$700.00Jun 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$323.71Jun 13, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$489.66Jun 13, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$5.24Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$76.82Jun 13, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$102.28Jun 13, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$79.00Jun 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$574.00Jun 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$780.22Jun 13, 01:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.90Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$5.02Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$2.20Jun 12, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$24.00Jun 12, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$26.45Jun 12, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $147.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.