Usable-Danger
0x4cd2d6fb29b2883ca439edcebf20cb6062a8a384
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$29.42
Total PnL
$-444.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 18?
35 shares @ 86.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$17.27
$-12.73
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?
35 shares @ 85.7¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$11.72
$-18.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.43
$-29.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
283 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-206.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
212 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-126.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
24 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 15?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6.22May 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$210.69May 15, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00May 15, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.10May 15, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.10May 15, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00May 15, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$11.36May 15, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$5.04May 15, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$5.04May 15, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 15?$33.64May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$43.35May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 15?$30.52May 15, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?$41.47May 15, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?$132.09May 15, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET$0.00May 15, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?$60.05May 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET$5.27May 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET$5.23May 15, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET$5.20May 15, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?$30.30May 15, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $35.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".