Incompatible-Raffle
0x4cf7b4f9f19518e7c7e9995163b456c3d1731cd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$166.83
Total PnL
$-154.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
69 shares @ 29.2¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.78
$20.78
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$24.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
81 shares @ 37.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.10
$-6.90
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
220 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.35
$-1.65
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
265 shares @ 9.4¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.90
$-7.10
- UP
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 18?
12 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$11.99
$9.59
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.47
$1.47
- YES
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.89
$-6.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 18?$2.40May 18, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?$2.80May 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?$2.60May 18, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?$6.13May 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$3.18May 18, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$9.09May 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.11May 18, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.07May 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$2.12May 18, 10:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?$10.25May 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.11May 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$11.20May 17, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?$50.00May 17, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?$6.15May 17, 07:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?$3.08May 16, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$3.14May 16, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?$5.13May 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.06May 16, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".