Black-Fertilizer
0x4d01907006288efd0149a1ab38a07b4ebd4cce0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-951.00
Realised
$-5.33
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
3537 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.99
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
3131 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
870 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
840 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- YES
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
492 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?
349 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
316 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
271 shares @ 97.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-264.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$5.51Apr 8, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$3.11Apr 8, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$2.40Apr 8, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$4.63Apr 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$10.00Apr 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$20.00Apr 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$30.33Apr 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$4.30Apr 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$9.15Apr 7, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$30.00Apr 6, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$37.59Apr 6, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$5.00Apr 6, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$6.40Apr 6, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 6?$1.00Apr 5, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6?$3.00Apr 5, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 6?$3.00Apr 5, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?$3.70Apr 5, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 6?$3.70Apr 5, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$22.92Apr 5, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$17.51Apr 5, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.