Polished-Kiwi
0x4d572086ee9e04ed75826ef8e09e21e41551259e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$54.48
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.48
$0.80
- HEAT
Heat vs. 76ers
3150 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NIAGARA PURPLE EAGLES
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
200 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?
110 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-42.90
- SEBASTIAN OFNER
Geneva Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Kilian Feldbausch
95 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-68.39
- AK BARS KAZAN
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Ak Bars Kazan
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
70 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-36.89
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
70 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-32.55
- FURIA
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
70 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-46.20
- CELTICS
Celtics vs. Timberwolves
60 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$40.00May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$6.33May 28, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$32.65May 16, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Kilian Feldbausch$68.97May 16, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians$85.00May 12, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$27.00May 11, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$16.66May 11, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians$53.30May 11, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Cavaliers$32.00May 4, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Pistons$40.00May 4, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$23.55May 2, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$31.01May 2, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$0.00May 2, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$39.54May 2, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$53.68Apr 26, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$24.80Apr 26, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Hornets$19.64Apr 26, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$69.66Apr 26, 08:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.16Apr 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.05Apr 11, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $21.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".