Medium-Trolley
0x4d8fc3a84455a39de27063ad793e685eddedf631
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$142.36
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-14.73
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 78.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$85.81
$-7.92
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 66.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$35.05
$-0.22
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
52 shares @ 44.1¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.51
$-1.33
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
514 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.04
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
411 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.01
- HAWKS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks
310 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-29.90
- ROCKETS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
207 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-57.91
- OILERS
Oilers vs. Utah
206 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-92.68
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Heat
206 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-91.28
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
204 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-92.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-04?$14.70Jun 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-04?$15.46Jun 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.65Jun 4, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.96Jun 4, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$52.86May 31, 06:16 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.10May 31, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$213.25May 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$105.41May 30, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$50.74May 30, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?$40.10May 27, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicaragua win on 2026-05-29?$2.81May 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$23.22May 26, 00:30 UTC
- REWARD$1.45May 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$39.03May 25, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$14.04May 25, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$701.64May 25, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$18.27May 25, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1.3KMay 25, 19:38 UTC
- MERGEWill the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?$56.29May 25, 09:27 UTC
- MERGEWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$57.37May 25, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $216.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".