Verifiable-Church
0x4dc248432485250dcf6291f002f4a05a3fb2858a
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$43.77
Total PnL
$0.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
35 shares @ 57.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$23.68
$3.68
- YES
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
108 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$11.37
$-1.62
- YES
Will Ukraine come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
202 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.05
$2.05
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
30 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.97
$-0.23
- YES
Will Norway come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
204 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will Ukraine come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Norway come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.23
$-0.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.37May 16, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.21May 15, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.21May 15, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.21May 15, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.21May 15, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$3.15May 15, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$20.42May 15, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$13.57May 15, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".