Wiry-Gasket
0x4dc9531c1ae42d2b6461cefce6009475145c8eb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.58
Total PnL
$-171.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
551 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.58
$-3.15
- YES
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2002 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-66.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15?
797 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?
100 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-21.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 17?
40 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-22?
30 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 16?
30 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?
18 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NEW ZEALAND
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa
15 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Mar 25, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$29.84Mar 24, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$11.88Mar 24, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14.68Mar 24, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17.10Mar 24, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$14.40Mar 24, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$22.28Mar 24, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$52.14Mar 24, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.75Mar 24, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.72Mar 24, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$41.15Mar 24, 17:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 24, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 23, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?$20.00Mar 22, 06:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 22, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-22?$10.20Mar 21, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?$13.80Mar 21, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?$10.00Mar 21, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$23.00Mar 21, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.24Mar 21, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.