Substantial-Adrenalin
0x4e1eaa5b58b6eac1f3a1ada6bbbeca090cdec5e3
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$23.28
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
62 shares @ 19.5¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$20.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.28
$0.28
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
3762 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
2491 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
2046 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-218.00
- YES
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1004 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
692 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
289 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?
199 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Monday news conference?
92 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.082d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$12.392d ago
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$165.002d ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$781.262d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$101.585d ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$513.605d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Monday news conference?$30.0035d ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$679.6935d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Board of Peace" on Truth Social this week?$0.0068d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.0068d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$25.0068d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$25.0068d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.0068d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Board of Peace" on Truth Social this week?$112.2268d ago
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$68.3971d ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$68.0071d ago
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$118.0071d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$117.4071d ago
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$500.0071d ago
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$200.0071d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $164.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 74d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".