OtherExpires Dec 31, 2026

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Probability

69¢

+0.5pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$26.0K

Liquidity

$55.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.0pp 7d

Apr 17, 2026, 20:00Apr 24, 2026, 19:51

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 6016.1h
LOW
19:52Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
07:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 5.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 67¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 67¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.5pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 9.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 9.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 8.5pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 8.5pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 8.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 8.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 7.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 8.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 8.5pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 67¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

BUYUP
Popular-Insurrection$13.51@ 33¢
4m ago
BUYDOWN
Dimpled-Semiconductor$2.02@ 68¢
4m ago
BUYUP
Tight-Honey$1.79@ 37¢
4m ago
BUYUP
Twin-Driving-Shower$11.33@ 33¢
4m ago
BUYHAMISH STEWART
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min$19.57@ 82¢
4m ago
BUYDOWN
Cloudy-Exclamation$33.88@ 68¢
4m ago
BUYUP
Happy-Go-Lucky-Factory$1.26@ 33¢
4m ago
SELLOVER
Gray-Habitat$1.73@ 100¢
4m ago
BUYDOWN
Late-Grammar$2.77@ 55¢
4m ago
SELLNO
Shady-Squash$30.00@ 98¢
4m ago
BUYDOWN
Knowledgeable-Price$4.19@ 68¢
4m ago
BUYDOWN
Hidden-Plant$4.85@ 58¢
4m ago

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventStarmer out by...?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
Resolution source
UMA status: n/a
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket