Definite-Nonbeliever
0x4e28264e4e131b88534dab2e2d2e28b04960af8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$368.35
Total PnL
$-33.2K
Realised
$-253.44
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
24662 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$332.93
$-17.04
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
4167 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$35.42
$-964.58
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
72513 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
50578 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-14.1K
- YES
Trump wins a solid blue state?
29412 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
22318 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
8858 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-6.2K
- YES
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?
5530 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Kamala Harris say "Project 2025" during DNC speech?
4122 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-205.00
- YES
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?
4038 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2023$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$103.95May 31, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.0KMay 31, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$103.12May 31, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$259.84May 18, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar$50.00Feb 18, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Don Lemon be criminally charged?$15.0KJan 30, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Don Lemon be criminally charged?$2.5KJan 23, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Don Lemon be criminally charged?$1.5KJan 21, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$1.3KOct 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$400.00Oct 26, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.8KOct 10, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$400.00Oct 10, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$50.00May 7, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold missing from Fort Knox?$150.00Feb 26, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$1.00Nov 16, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$31.41Nov 16, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$100.00Nov 16, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$100.00Nov 16, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$500.00Nov 16, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$1.3KNov 15, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $823.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.