Cloudy-Orchard
0x4e39fdfc230f9312d93db03ab48c10fccf2d8cbf
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$134.64
Total PnL
$64.47
Realised
$44.05
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
19813 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$29.72
$9.91
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
16888 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$25.33
$7.14
- YES
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
8496 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$12.74
$4.25
- YES
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
7365 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$11.05
$3.68
- YES
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3376 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.06
$-1.69
- YES
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$1.67
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2996 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.49
$1.50
- YES
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1688 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.22
$0.84
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1688 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.22
$0.84
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1688 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.22
$0.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.0410m ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.1149m ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.121h ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.552h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$1.002h ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.222h ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.163h ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.333h ago
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?$1.014h ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$1.004h ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$1.354h ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.434h ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.125h ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.375h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?$0.555h ago
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.185h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$0.556h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?$0.216h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$0.436h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8h ago
- Last active
- 10m ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".