Sarcastic-Music
0x4e3aa655e4ab64f611b33ac51465f9d83efc4cb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$3.64
Total PnL
$-139.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 23?
60 shares @ 4.2¢·now 6.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.64
$1.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 24?
147 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22?
143 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 22?
140 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 1?
111 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
107 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 30?
104 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22?
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 28?
101 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 23?$2.65Jul 22, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7?$188.89Jul 7, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7?$187.19Jul 6, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?$211.93Jun 1, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?$209.17May 31, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$1.55May 30, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$2.16May 29, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 24?$3.22May 24, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?$205.83May 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?$203.36May 22, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?$3.53May 16, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 14?$62.80May 16, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$2.69May 9, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$175.80May 9, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 27?$0.00May 3, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?$2.09Apr 26, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 24?$0.00Apr 26, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$174.39Apr 19, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$187.38Apr 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?$2.61Apr 16, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $43.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.