Jubilant-Sushi
0x4e5d1856e933e7aa1eaf5cc034b4c8a95d2930b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$97.98
Total PnL
$-319.58
Realised
$-145.56
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?
98 shares @ 76.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.98
$22.98
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
107 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
102 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
67 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
51 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
33 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
30 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
24 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$2.13Aug 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burgas host Eurovision 2027?$75.88Aug 9, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.00May 18, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$4.93May 18, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.18May 18, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.26May 18, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.37May 18, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.05May 18, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$11.49May 18, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.30May 18, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$11.97May 18, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.37May 18, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$11.97May 18, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.09May 18, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$10.24May 18, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$15.49May 18, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.18May 18, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$10.36May 18, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$10.46May 18, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$3.94May 18, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.