0x4e659a82a9d59d77eaf6a61ebfd344d5e632768f
0x4e659a82a9d59d77eaf6a61ebfd344d5e632768f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.11
Total PnL
$-18.05
Realised
$-4.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$3.25
$0.75
- NO
Will Pacto Histórico win 30+ seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$3.16
$0.66
- NO
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?
3 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.02
$0.52
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.52
$0.02
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.16
$-0.34
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by April 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
8 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- NO
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?
6 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 29, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.00Apr 29, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 29, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.00Apr 29, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$1.89Apr 29, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 29, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.00Apr 29, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by April 30, 2026?$2.42Apr 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?$2.29Apr 27, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$2.29Apr 27, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$2.47Apr 27, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?$7.29Apr 27, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$1.86Apr 24, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings?$4.81Apr 24, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Apr 24, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Apr 24, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?$2.25Apr 23, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$4.97Apr 23, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 22?$0.00Apr 23, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 22?$2.45Apr 22, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.