Weary-Complex
0x4e81fbeec63026874f1edc11c5997d6067c01120
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$29.50
Total PnL
$-152.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
44 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$29.45
$-0.22
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.05
$-49.95
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
68 shares @ 73.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
51 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
49 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 1?
39 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$50.79Jun 14, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$63.49Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$7.49Jun 14, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$29.96Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$30.37Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$40.52Jun 13, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$40.44Jun 13, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$41.62Jun 13, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$12.48Jun 12, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$20.31Jun 12, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$50.52Jun 1, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 30?$0.00May 1, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 30?$0.00May 1, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 30?$0.00May 1, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 1?$2.09May 1, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 29?$0.00Apr 30, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 29?$0.00Apr 30, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 30?$2.10Apr 30, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $12.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.