0x4eb19ab1a866bcc12e7e7bd7d468a3c68a244547
0x4eb19ab1a866bcc12e7e7bd7d468a3c68a244547
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$768.69
Total PnL
$-112.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
93 shares @ 93.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$91.65
$4.65
- YES
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
104 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$88.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
96 shares @ 90.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$86.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
110 shares @ 78.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$83.93
$-3.07
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?
109 shares @ 79.9¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$80.59
$-6.41
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
99 shares @ 87.9¢·now 81.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$80.46
$-6.54
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
102 shares @ 85.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$80.35
$-6.65
- YES
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
96 shares @ 91.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$79.83
$-7.17
- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% and 9%?
100 shares @ 87.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$77.43
$-9.57
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.73
$-0.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$77.95Jun 1, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$87.43Jun 1, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$87.43Jun 1, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$88.17Jun 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?$88.14Jun 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% and 9%?$87.88Jun 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$87.75Jun 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$87.99Jun 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$87.75Jun 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$87.96Jun 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$868.19Jun 1, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$446.71Jun 1, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$446.80Jun 1, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$597.69Jun 1, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$597.80Jun 1, 13:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.6KMay 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.6KMay 30, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $435.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".