Glum-Contrast
0x4eb388826e3f99ee5f90f6e926423aa7ce0381c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$243.69
Total PnL
$-641.36
Realised
$83.14
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
547 shares @ 27.2¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.78
$6.78
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
550 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.25
$-46.75
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
31 shares @ 48.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.02
$1.23
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
14 shares @ 13.8¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- YES
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 2 Manchester City FC?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 3 Manchester City FC?
31 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.73
$-3.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$2.04May 19, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 3 Manchester City FC?$2.06May 19, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 2 Manchester City FC?$2.05May 19, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the match end in a draw?$5.72May 19, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.03May 19, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$2.06May 19, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$2.06May 19, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$2.06May 19, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$2.06May 19, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$2.06May 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$2.06May 19, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Burnley FC?$19.79May 18, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBurnley FC leading at halftime?$2.06May 18, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score$2.04May 18, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$7.45May 18, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$2.06May 18, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Burnley FC?$2.05May 18, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$5.05May 18, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.14May 18, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$5.11May 18, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".