This-Consequence
0x4ecc2bcc585d50e3bea269969e7f3567f8a98422
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$59.82
Total PnL
$-884.45
Realised
$215.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1193 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$42.95
$-7.05
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
188 shares @ 10.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$16.88
$-3.12
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
1693 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1469 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
773 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.72
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
630 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-232.73
- YES
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?
568 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?
445 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- CASPER RUUD
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?
325 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$51.44May 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$20.54May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$20.56May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 9, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 9, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$333.39Mar 9, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$34.60Mar 5, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.00Mar 5, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$30.00Mar 5, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$200.00Mar 5, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$284.60Mar 3, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$300.03Mar 3, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$134.10Mar 3, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$100.00Mar 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?$29.60Jan 30, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$47.59Jan 30, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$49.72Jan 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$150.00Jan 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$350.00Jan 28, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$60.91Sep 6, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $70.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".