Hidden-Contrast
0x4ee44376066a2d20336bf9a5126a11af85c218ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$82.5K
Total PnL
$-671.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
33517 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.2K
$16.86
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
21808 shares @ 91.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.6K
$598.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
20459 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$20.2K
$162.26
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
9837 shares @ 91.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.5K
$517.18
- OVER
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
2068 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-992.51
- OVER
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
1056 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-477.43
- 76ERS
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
1013 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-496.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.72Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.72Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.72Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.71Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.72Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.72Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.71Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.71Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.72Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$3.71Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.72Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.72Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.72Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.73Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.48Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$7.2KJul 14, 08:31 UTC
- YIELD$3.08Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.08Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.08Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.07Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$20.2K · 64% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $17.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.