Grumpy-Narrative
0x4eeb3384395da25b988125e2db0ed741859a58bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$12.59
Total PnL
$-24.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.17
$0.00
- ALEXANDER ZVEREV
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.67
$0.27
- NO
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.44
$-0.01
- INDIANA FEVER
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.44
$0.29
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.38
$-0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$0.01
- NO
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$0.03
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- JIE CUI
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Jie Cui
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever$1.16Jun 11, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)$1.20Jun 9, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$1.41Jun 7, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves$1.29Jun 4, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.13May 31, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$40.00May 31, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$20.30May 26, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox$2.80May 26, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles$1.24May 24, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox$1.17May 24, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.42May 24, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.40May 24, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.20May 24, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.44May 24, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$1.62May 24, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$1.67May 24, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina$1.99May 24, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar$1.99May 24, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.11May 24, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.13May 24, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.