Esteemed-Logo
0x4ef13adbe867022cc211bceab94d1e4ebe4cc246
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$72.44
Total PnL
$-94.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.52
$-0.48
- NO
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$14.08
$4.08
- NO
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.75
$1.75
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.70
$6.70
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$6.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.83
$-3.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
42 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Feb 6, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 6, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$2.00Feb 6, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$20.00Feb 6, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$10.00Feb 6, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$10.00Feb 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$10.00Feb 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$10.00Feb 6, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 6, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$13.33Feb 6, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$13.33Feb 6, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$14.49Feb 6, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$17.24Feb 6, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?$22.47Feb 6, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$12.00Nov 26, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?$20.00Nov 26, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$10.00Nov 26, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?$20.00Nov 26, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$10.00Nov 26, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$10.00Nov 23, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $13.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.