Trusting-Wish
0x4f0017d7ed4b42a9c68831f0aecb3508dbf17add
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-636.03
Realised
$739.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
3591 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$269.81
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
1300 shares @ 81.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$75.50
- YES
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 73.3¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$213.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 58.7¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$170.97
$-5.03
- YES
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$162.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 72.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$90.75
$-17.25
- YES
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$79.49
$0.50
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 61.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$72.50
$11.50
- YES
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$72.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$72.50
$-4.50
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.56Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.60Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$59.37Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.00Jun 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.50Jun 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.50Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.04Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.50Jun 13, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$70.29Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.94Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.90Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$74.23Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.97Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.77Jun 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.75Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.75Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.50Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.70Jun 13, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.31Jun 13, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $36.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.