Tidy-Promise
0x4f183edad7758edccfe8596350f14ff5ed75570c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.68
Total PnL
$-24.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
23 shares @ 25.2¢·now 18.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.12
$-1.63
- YES
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 20.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.56
$-0.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 April 20-26?
50 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the Rolex Index hit $13,150 (HIGH) by April 30?
36 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- NO
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
7 shares @ 89.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
7 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$10.37May 4, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$15.30May 4, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$39.01Apr 27, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$116.56Apr 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$28.15Apr 26, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$30.83Apr 26, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$33.71Apr 26, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$10.45Apr 26, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$24.19Apr 26, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$40.15Apr 26, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$32.95Apr 26, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?$36.15Apr 26, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?$15.01Apr 26, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?$11.50Apr 26, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?$4.54Apr 26, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?$0.75Apr 26, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?$0.66Apr 26, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?$0.79Apr 26, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$0.00Apr 25, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$44.38Apr 25, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $18.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.