Weepy-Gel
0x4f21c05495e82de23a3fe819a26e793c079c33f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-91.90
Win rate
5%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
868 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-478.58
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
750 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-502.50
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
600 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
582 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-208.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
510 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-223.25
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
500 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-262.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
480 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-156.19
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
400 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
400 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-67.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$166.67Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.12Jul 18, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.10Jul 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.22Jul 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.09Jul 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$102.00Jul 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$136.21Jul 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$68.11Jul 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$103.22Jul 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$204.60Jul 15, 08:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$37.15Jul 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.22Jul 13, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58.23Jul 13, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.19Jul 13, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$111.46Jul 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$121.41Jul 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$84.92Jul 13, 03:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
40 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $88.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.