Soggy-Comestible
0x4f423d4ad987215b20b95f788f83c250e9628bbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-393.8K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
6974 shares @ 38.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.1K
$-523.02
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
250000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?
244796 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-249.94
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?
229978 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-249.76
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?
214898 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-249.93
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
64345 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-249.92
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
63145 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-499.92
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?
58044 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
51817 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.00
$-499.98
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to Score$8.3KJul 28, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMAC Goianiense vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 3.5$0.46Jul 28, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLRīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score$10.7KJul 28, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to Score$5.1KJul 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score$1.5KJul 28, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score$5.1KJul 28, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score$1.5KJul 28, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5$517.30Jul 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$2.0KJul 28, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLAC Goianiense vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 3.5$469.51Jul 28, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAC Goianiense vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 4.5$520.75Jul 28, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLAC Goianiense vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 3.5$4.1KJul 28, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$18.72Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAC Goianiense vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 3.5$2.6KJul 28, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAC Goianiense vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 4.5$1.0KJul 27, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$666.12Jul 27, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-27?$518.75Jul 27, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYZaglebie Lubin vs. GKS Piast Gliwice: O/U 2.5$514.25Jul 27, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5$513.50Jul 27, 15:30 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$228.36Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
61%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
$8.0K · 25% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.