0x4f6a0f6ca948394adfe06098d4b05709f89c8644
0x4f6a0f6ca948394adfe06098d4b05709f89c8644
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.47
Total PnL
$-2.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$6.19
$0.19
- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 71.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.80
$0.80
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
1 shares @ 90.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?$6.00Mar 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 2, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.07Mar 2, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Mar 2, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Mar 2, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Mar 2, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 2, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 2, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 2, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMC.J. Stroud: Rushing Yards O/U 12.5$0.00Jan 18, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$0.00Jan 18, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$1.56Jan 18, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYC.J. Stroud: Rushing Yards O/U 12.5$1.00Jan 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 12, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 15:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.