Yawning-Impairment
0x4f83689617f3b0acea6dea5d13d909d69688ec29
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$7.89
Total PnL
$-3.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.20
$0.02
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.13
$0.01
- NO
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.44
$-0.05
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.01
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 33.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.76
$-0.50
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.49Jun 14, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$1.36Jun 14, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2.18May 30, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.05May 9, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.05May 9, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$1.07May 9, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.07May 9, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$1.08May 9, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?$1.21May 9, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill France strike Iran by March 31?$1.25May 9, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.09May 9, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.03May 9, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.07Apr 29, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$1.07Apr 29, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by April 30?$1.06Apr 15, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.05Mar 30, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France strike Iran by March 31?$1.24Mar 29, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$2.04Dec 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?$1.21Dec 30, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.