Insistent-Face
0x4f8d2d456c74489a285eba92ca8a7908de78c7ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$172.49
Total PnL
$-270.19
Realised
$2.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1060 shares @ 5.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$87.47
$34.47
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
677 shares @ 4.7¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.84
$2.84
- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3694 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.40
$-0.59
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
109 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.42
$-1.58
- YES
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.59
$-1.41
- YES
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
112 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.17
$-14.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
333 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- YES
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
170 shares @ 61.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-104.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$105.83Jun 3, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$104.61Jun 3, 10:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.36May 29, 07:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $26.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.