Gummy-Colonization
0x4fabf203a93f2b9e25619caacdb29a4d89856206
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-585.05
Realised
$14.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1024 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$2.56
- NO
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
255 shares @ 78.4¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$207.83
$7.83
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
1805 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
179 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
155 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
147 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
27 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$397.52May 31, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.3KMay 31, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?$219.78May 6, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.0KMay 5, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$25.11May 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$11.49May 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$25.68May 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$101.40May 5, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$25.32May 5, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.0KMay 5, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.0KMay 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.1KMay 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?$200.72May 5, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$303.68May 5, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$108.23May 5, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?$98.74May 5, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStripe IPO before 2027?$104.35May 5, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$128.21May 5, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$154.00May 5, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$111.11May 5, 14:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $272.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 23:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.