Ornate-Greatgrandfather
0x4fc257d4c2b15f70d49dd5a8c5816cbb4a26e3f4
Quality score
92/100
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$54.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
535 shares @ 83.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$436.29
$-8.92
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
349 shares @ 61.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$280.84
$66.64
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
230 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$203.45
$3.45
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
288 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.3¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$188.31
$-1.87
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
150 shares @ 75.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$147.68
$35.17
- NO
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
150 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$133.21
$-0.29
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
211 shares @ 55.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$110.82
$-5.28
- YES
US bank failure by December 31?
144 shares @ 82.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.36
$-11.02
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
126 shares @ 39.7¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.42
$-23.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$190.1811h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$200.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$200.0013h ago
- YIELD$0.0115h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$590.171d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$245.212d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$30.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$32.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?$100.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?$347.192d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$569.512d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$569.502d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$209.446d ago
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?$209.446d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$171.966d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $109.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12d ago
- Last active
- 11h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.