OtherExpires Mar 14, 2026

Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?

Probability

65¢

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$229.05

Liquidity

$17.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+9.2pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 03:18

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

03:18Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
LOW
03:00Price
Probability down -12.4pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -12.3pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -12.2pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability down -12.2pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -12.2pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -12.2pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -18.9pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -16.4pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
15:00Price
Probability down -16.0pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 5.3pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 5.3pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
07:00Price
Probability up 5.3pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 5.2pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.8pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 6.6pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 10.9pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 9.7pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.5pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 9.9pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 16.0pp
to 75¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 16.8pp
to 76¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 14.4pp
to 77¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 15.4pp
to 77¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.9pp
to 77¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.8pp
to 78¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventHow long will the DHS shutdown last?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Mar 14, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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