Watery-Brace
0x4fcccaa7659aa5aaf045949635bffd4ed2cd5f1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$869.42
Total PnL
$-958.29
Realised
$33.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
769 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$288.46
$-11.54
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
333 shares @ 45.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.67
$-68.33
- NO
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
272 shares @ 25.4¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$68.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
450 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$51.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$51.50
$0.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
311 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.84
$-0.15
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.05
$-1.05
- DERRICK LEWIS
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
210 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$43.05
$-5.25
- CIRYL GANE
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$29.70
$-0.30
- YES
Fight to Go the Distance?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$28.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2.13Jun 14, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.04Jun 14, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.00Jun 14, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.72Jun 14, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.03Jun 14, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.00Jun 14, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.16Jun 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$20.73Jun 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.26Jun 14, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$305.49Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$0.01Jun 14, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$154.21Jun 14, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$0.03Jun 14, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$154.23Jun 14, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$15.42Jun 14, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$5.14Jun 14, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$38.79Jun 14, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.02Jun 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.02Jun 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.02Jun 14, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $33.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 22:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.