Standard-Enthusiasm
0x4fd8082eac8aed928f3c7dd203a09569123e0d38
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$99.15
Realised
$105.63
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1753 shares @ 66.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-96.10
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
1064 shares @ 87.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$995.14
$59.74
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
904 shares @ 74.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$845.01
$168.10
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
1476 shares @ 40.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$494.57
$-101.86
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
447 shares @ 69.9¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$283.83
$-28.68
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
408 shares @ 71.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$271.32
$-18.36
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$256.50
$-1.50
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
257 shares @ 51.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$201.75
$69.09
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
166 shares @ 71.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$152.12
$34.08
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.04May 17, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.20May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$28.95May 17, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$35.00May 17, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$5.64May 16, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$9.54May 16, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$18.30May 16, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$31.42May 16, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$31.40May 15, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$16.89May 15, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.83May 15, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$11.18May 15, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $32.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".